This release features findings from a national online survey of 1,007 registered voters conducted May 28-June 1, 2020. • Most Americans have favorable views of the CDC, Dr. Fauci, and the World Health Organization (WHO), and a majority opposes defunding and withdrawing from the WHO.• A majority view Obamacare favorably, […] Read more »
Trump’s Approval Slips Where He Can’t Afford to Lose It: Among Evangelicals
President Trump needs every vote he got from white evangelicals in 2016 — and then some. Hoisting a Bible in the air may not be enough. Unnerved by his slipping poll numbers and his failure to take command of the moral and public health crises straining the country, religious conservatives […] Read more »
The Real Threats to America’s Cities
After years of revival and resurgence, the nation’s largest metropolitan areas are now being squeezed by external threats and an internal eruption along their deepest fault line—one that could fracture their political influence in the years to come. America’s cities have already faced almost four years of persistent hostility from […] Read more »
Trump, the Floyd Protests, and the End of Confident Conservatism
… The current crisis in the streets of America has roots that stretch in many different directions, but it has surely been exacerbated by the current administration’s propensity for confrontation with the many perceived enemies that surround it. … The current governing regime seeks to retain political power from behind […] Read more »
Is the 2020 fight for the House already over?
Of the major political handicappers, not even one of them thinks the House is likely to flip in November. Not the folks at the Cook Political Report. Not the analysts at Sabato’s Crystal Ball. And certainly not my colleagues at Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales, who in a recent […] Read more »
The George Floyd Election
The nationwide protests over the killing of George Floyd will test two competing notions of how voters respond to crises that provoke both anger and grief. Could the demonstrations that have devolved into mayhem, looting and assault lead to victory for President Trump? Will they empower Republicans in the way […] Read more »