Dave Wasserman, U.S. House editor of the Cook Political Report with Amy Walter, breaks down the upcoming redrawing of congressional districts as control of the House potentially hangs in the balance. MTP Daily The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. […] Read more »
As New Census Numbers Show, the Biggest Divide Isn’t North v. South Anymore—It’s Metro v. Rural
On Thursday, the Census Bureau released the 2020 census data for cities, counties, and other geographic subdivisions. Just as with the state-level numbers announced in April, there were some surprises. Many large metropolitan areas grew faster over the past decade than the Bureau had previously projected, with eight of the […] Read more »
The Trump Factor for 2021 and 2022
For the first time in more than four years, Donald Trump has receded into the background. He no longer grabs the headlines and wall-to-wall cable TV coverage that he craves. Banned from social media, his opinions on everything from the women’s national soccer team to the troop withdrawal in Afghanistan, […] Read more »
Parties Now See Any Electoral Victory As A Mandate
There has been a lot of talk in recent months about the schism in the Republican Party, with the “Stop the Steal” wing, steadfastly loyal to former President Trump, on one side, and what one Republican pollster referred to me last week as the “reality-based” wing on the other. The […] Read more »
‘Everybody I Know Is Pissed Off’
The vaccinated, across party lines, have kind of had it with the unvaccinated, an array of new polls suggests. While most state and national GOP leaders are focused on defending the rights of unvaccinated Americans, new polling shows that the large majority of vaccinated adults—including a substantial portion of Republicans—support […] Read more »
Redistricting in America, Part Four: The West Coast and Southwest
Key Points• Independent redistricting commissions are most common out West.• Democrats currently dominate the House delegations from the West Coast and Southwest, and that is likely to continue.• However, Republicans may be able to make up a little ground, thanks in part to California losing a seat and Oregon gaining […] Read more »