Key Points• Over the past several weeks, we’ve analyzed redistricting all over the country.• Overall, our House outlook remains unchanged after this analysis: There are a lot of reasons to like the Republicans’ chances of winning a majority next year.• All of our 44 full redistricting previews for each state […] Read more »
How Educational Differences Are Widening America’s Political Rift
The front lines of America’s cultural clashes have shifted in recent years. A vigorous wave of progressive activism has helped push the country’s culture to the left, inspiring a conservative backlash against everything from “critical race theory” to the supposed cancellation of Dr. Seuss. These skirmishes may be different in […] Read more »
In the California Recall, Republicans Turn to The Conservative Media for Party Leadership
The field of Republican candidates seeking to replace Democratic governor Gavin Newsom in next Tuesday’s recall election in California includes the former mayor of San Diego; a businessman who was the Republican gubernatorial nominee in 2018; a former member of both houses of the state legislature who serves on the […] Read more »
Don’t Be So Sure a Supreme Court Backlash Will Boost Democrats
It took about a minute and a half between the Supreme Court’s decision to let a draconian, constitutionally bizarre abortion law take effect and the widespread conclusion that it would prove a boon to Democratic political hopes even as it provoked their moral outrage. … There is plausibility to this […] Read more »
Texas Republicans Got What They Wanted. They Might Regret It.
… Most American voters have quietly understood for a long time that most politicians who claim to be “pro-life” are hypocrites. These politicians do not really mean what they say, or anyway, they do not really intend to do what they say. You might imagine that this assumption of hypocrisy […] Read more »
Four ways to think about Abbott’s and DeSantis’s 2022 prospects
Even pre-pandemic, Republican Govs. Greg Abbott of Texas and Ron DeSantis of Florida were obsessed with “own the libs” moves that at times broke with core democratic values, mostly notably DeSantis’s efforts to make it harder for felons to regain their voting rights. But covid-19 has shown the serious danger […] Read more »