2020 Census: What the Reapportionment Numbers Mean

Today, the Census Bureau unveiled its official 2020 state population counts, determining how many House seats and Electoral votes each state will receive for the next decade. The detailed data needed to draw official district lines won’t be released until the fall. But Republicans, who only need to pick up […] Read more »

The Fate of Biden’s Agenda Hangs in the Balance

Every 10 years, after the collection of census data, states are required to redraw the boundaries of their congressional districts to ensure that they remain equal in population. The process — as readers of this newspaper know — is vulnerable to gerrymandering, in which districts are redrawn to give favored […] Read more »

The House: Unclear Lines, Clear Expectations

Key Points• Delays in the redistricting process mean that we won’t be releasing Crystal Ball House district ratings for the foreseeable future.• However, midterm history along with GOP advantages in redistricting make the Republicans clear, though not certain, favorites to win the House next year.• Recent midterm history helps illustrate […] Read more »

Why Republican voter restrictions are a race against time

With their drive to erect new obstacles to voting, particularly across the Sun Belt, Republicans are stacking sandbags against a rising tide of demographic change. In many of the states where Republicans are advancing the most severe restrictions — including Georgia, Arizona and Texas — shifts in the electorate’s composition […] Read more »