The 2022 midterms are now in the rearview mirror, but Americans have only begun to process the ramifications on politics and government. … With all of that in mind, we’re wrapping up our FiveThirtyEight/Ipsos panel survey by looking at which issues drove Americans’ votes in the midterm election as well […] Read more »
Ron DeSantis has pulled into a tie with Joe Biden in a hypothetical 2024 matchup
A new Marquette Law School Poll national survey finds Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has pulled into a tie with President Joe Biden in a hypothetical 2024 matchup, with each receiving 42% support from registered voters nationwide. DeSantis has increased his support in polling since January, while Biden’s support has remained […] Read more »
Crime, American Public Opinion and the Election
… Americans’ perceptions of crime are significantly affected by partisanship. Responses to many survey questions about crime vary, in some cases dramatically, based on underlying political identity. It’s probable that these differences reflect party positioning and political campaign strategies as much as they do sharp differences in what partisan groups […] Read more »
A Look to 2024
Majorities of Democrats and Republicans, including independents who lean toward these parties, do not think President Joe Biden or former President Donald Trump are their parties’ best hope at winning the Presidency in 2024. Voters who identify as Democrats divide about Biden’s viability atop the Democratic ticket but independents who […] Read more »
Focus Group Report: Heading into Midterms, Democrats Were Motivated by Republican Attacks on Rights and Democracy
On October 20, 2022, GBAO conducted three focus groups online with Democratic and Independent voters who varied across demographics—age, education, and race. Key takeaways• Democrats are acutely worried about abortion, extremist Republicans, and political division.• Some see economic improvements, while others feel pessimistic.• Discussing the “middle class” further reveals pessimism […] Read more »
These 17 Swing Voters Have a Very Clear Message for Donald Trump
When Donald Trump was president, you rarely heard Trump voters blame him when anything went wrong; it was the Democrats’ fault, usually, or the deep state or Robert Mueller or the F.B.I. or was due to any number of conspiracy theories. Which is why it was striking, during our focus […] Read more »