David Shor’s (Premature) Autopsy of the 2022 Midterm Elections

The Democratic Party entered the 2022 midterms saddled with a historically unpopular president and an inflationary economy. And yet the party is exiting them as the election’s clear winner. In fact, Democrats put up one of the best midterm performances for an in-power party ever. David Shor believes that he […] Read more »

Election Night Poll Take-Away Points

Despite the record-breaking negative mood of the country, and lackluster Biden approval scores, the GOP’s narrow margin on the generic ballot translated into a smaller advantage than anticipated in the US House. Voters’ top issues were “rising prices and inflation” and “abortion,” followed by “the economy and jobs” and “protecting […] Read more »

Democrats fend off headwinds from Biden and economy: Exit poll analysis

Democrats pushed back against historic trends in the 2022 midterms, overcoming broadly negative economic attitudes and Joe Biden’s unpopularity to hold more seats than typical in the face of such headwinds. Their competitiveness came down to a variety of factors — support for abortion rights, negative views of Donald Trump, […] Read more »

Election Day 2022: What voters are thinking about

With the 2022 congressional election concluding Tuesday on Election Day, the Economist/YouGov poll is publishing its final numbers for the generic congressional ballot: 49% of likely voters — including people who are undecided but lean for either the Democratic or the Republican Party candidates — say they will vote for […] Read more »

November 2022 Debrief: NBC News Poll

16 slides that show why tomorrow is very likely to be a great night for Republicans up and down the ballot. CONTINUED Public Opinion Strategies The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »