History said there should be a red wave. After all, on average, in the 19 midterms between the end of World War II and this one, the White House party lost 27 House seats, and four in the Senate. And these were not average times. The president’s approval rating was […] Read more »
The Red Wave Didn’t Just Vanish
On Election Day, a small but crucial percentage of Republican voters deserted their party, casting ballots for Democratic nominees in several elections that featured Trump-backed candidates at the top of the ticket. These Trump-driven defections wrought havoc on Republican ranks. At the extreme, a once-strong Republican Party in Michigan was […] Read more »
Is Trump Still a Viable Candidate? Yes and No.
Even before Donald Trump announced he was seeking the presidency again, last week’s election results showed Republicans how difficult it will be to escape the former president’s gravitational pull. Widespread voter resistance to a Republican Party refashioned in Trump’s image offset disenchantment with the economy and President Joe Biden’s performance […] Read more »
How the news media – long in thrall to Trump – can cover his new run for president responsibly
Members of the media prepare for Donald Trump’s announcement that he is running for president in 2024. AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell Thomas E. Patterson, Harvard Kennedy School Now that he’s in the 2024 presidential race, the media circus that is Donald Trump is returning for a new season. Trump is still […] Read more »
Trump has the same advantages among Republicans he’s always had
… Analysts and pundits will tell you Trump can’t keep his base. I’m not one of them. Trump was not joking when he said he could shoot someone on 5th Avenue in New York City and maintain his popularity. If he could shoot someone on 5th Avenue, well, he can […] Read more »
These 17 Swing Voters Have a Very Clear Message for Donald Trump
When Donald Trump was president, you rarely heard Trump voters blame him when anything went wrong; it was the Democrats’ fault, usually, or the deep state or Robert Mueller or the F.B.I. or was due to any number of conspiracy theories. Which is why it was striking, during our focus […] Read more »