The number of Americans who approve of President Joe Biden has grown steadily since he took office, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling released on Friday, driven by concrete steps his administration has taken to address the public health and economic crisis caused by the coronavirus pandemic. The March 17-18 national opinion […] Read more »
What Will Turnout Look Like Without Trump?
… Donald Trump’s ability to capture media and popular culture attention is unparalleled. We don’t know what happens when he is no longer the center of attention. Will the voters he energized (good and bad) remain engaged without him? And, what about the folks who may not have sat out […] Read more »
Revisiting the ‘gold standard’ of polling: new methods outperformed traditional ones in 2020
Even before 2020 polling errors became evident, analysts wondered if we could trust the polls. After the election, concerns spiked — overall errors were even larger than in 2016. Frank Luntz went so far as to declare, “the polling profession is done.” We disagree. We think polling has a strong […] Read more »
Biden’s team learned the wrong lessons from the Obama years
… It is clear that the “go big or go home,” approach that President Biden and congressional Democrats took to the coronavirus relief and stimulus package this month was driven by lessons they feel they learned from President Obama’s experience in 2009, getting an economic-stimulus package through Congress in the […] Read more »
Biden Approval Ratings Diverge by Gender, Education, Race
President Joe Biden has averaged 56% job approval across three Gallup polls since taking office, including 54% in the latest survey from March 1-15. In addition to a yawning party gap, Biden’s job ratings also differ significantly by gender, education, race and place of residence. … Biden is enjoying a […] Read more »
American Rescue Plan, Vaccines & the Filibuster
Within the first 100 days of Joe Biden’s presidency, he’s already signed a $1.9 trillion COVID-19 relief package as the vaccine roll-out is accelerating. Meanwhile, the Democrats wrestle with advancing their priorities in the Senate, as Republicans continue to filibuster. There’s even talk of eliminating the filibuster, which could obstruct […] Read more »