Veteran Republican pollster and strategist Tony Fabrizio, who served as Trump’s chief pollster in ’16 and ’20, joins Axe and Murphy to discuss his analysis of the five “tribes” that make up the current Republican Party and what it says about the power Trump holds over the GOP. Plus, in […] Read more »
Democrats need to write a different ending to this story
Let me be clear: This column is not predicting that Democrats will lose control of the Senate and/or the House in next year’s midterm elections. But I am about to argue that if Democrats lose one or both chambers, they will look back on some of their decisions and actions […] Read more »
Can this political moment of good feelings last?
In our partisan times, it’s hard to find polling results that go against the grain, so to speak. Over the past four years, then-President Trump’s position on any given issue cleaved public opinion along party lines, regardless of the merits. Democrats opposed opening schools simply because Education Secretary Betsy DeVos […] Read more »
Can Biden make it ‘the economy, stupid’ again?
Eight weeks in, President Joe Biden has overseen a huge Covid relief win, surging vaccinations and declining case counts. As Wall Street sets new records, forecasters predict an economic boom. And yet, from his sixth day in office to his sixtieth, Biden’s approval rating barely budged. … And history suggests […] Read more »
It’s not Joe Biden’s Senate anymore
All presidents come to town with hope for pushing through a bipartisan agenda, before running into the reality of a divided Washington, but some people believed Joe Biden’s experience in the Senate and his knowledge of its personalities meant it might be different this time. It doesn’t look like it […] Read more »
Bubbles, then and now
A paper by Jacob Brown and Ryan Enos is getting a good deal of attention. They find that there is partisan sorting even at the level of individual residences–that Democrats tend to have Democratic neighbors and Republicans tend to have Republican neighbors. Although the study is cross-sectional, they imply that […] Read more »