… Almost any time I explain that Biden’s leading Trump, someone will inevitably bring up “but what about 2016.” That’s why this week marks an important milestone for the Biden campaign. It’s one of the first times during the election year that Biden was clearly running ahead of Hillary Clinton’s […] Read more »
Trump has a real shot of winning
Former Vice President Joe Biden is ahead of President Donald Trump in the presidential race. He leads in the swing states and is up somewhere between 5 and 8 points nationally, depending on what methodology you use. Yet it’s important to point out that even if the polls are an […] Read more »
Trump will lose in a landslide because of the economy, new election model predicts
… The coronavirus recession will cause Trump to suffer a “historic defeat” in November, a national election model released Wednesday by Oxford Economics predicted. The model, which uses unemployment, disposable income and inflation to forecast election results, predicts that Trump will lose in a landslide, capturing just 35% of the […] Read more »
For Democrats, Unified Government Is No Longer Just a Fantasy
The political outlook has changed pretty dramatically in recent months, though not in the way you might think. Even though U.S. coronavirus deaths now surpass the capacity of FedEx Field, these changes aren’t directly related to the pandemic. Nor do they stem directly from our current economic downturn, the most […] Read more »
California race shows why the election for president is close
Voters are less than six months away from the election between President Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden. Neither candidate is likely to emerge with a landslide victory, as it is clear that the race is far from over. Though one could argue that Biden holds an advantage, given […] Read more »
State polls suggest Biden has a clear national lead
… One of the big questions when we look at national polls is whether or not they’re an accurate representation of what is going on at the state level. One of the easiest ways to check is to compare state poll results to the past presidential vote in a given […] Read more »