Former Vice President Joe Biden is well ahead in the national polls right now. More importantly, he holds the advantage in the pivotal swing states. Chances are Biden will still be ahead come November and that he’ll win a comfortable, not blowout win. Still, it’s worth emphasizing that with more […] Read more »
2020 Electoral Map Ratings: Biden Has An Edge Over Trump, With 5 Months To Go
President Trump is in a political hole and has a lot of ground to make up over the next five months if he hopes to win another term, an NPR analysis of the Electoral College map finds. Given his handling of the coronavirus and protests over racism and police brutality […] Read more »
Trump has a point about the polls
As President Donald Trump tumbles in the polls and falls further behind Joe Biden, his campaign has returned to a familiar refrain: The polls are underestimating Trump’s appeal again. It has a point. Pollsters aren’t deliberately skewing their surveys against the president and his party, as Trump’s orbit alleges. The […] Read more »
Is Biden really ahead of Trump?
As of today, Joe Biden clearly leads Donald Trump in the race for the White House. Suggesting otherwise borders on the foolish. At the same time, while the odds favor Biden in November, a prognosticator would be equally foolish to contend that Trump can’t prevail in the end. Begin considering […] Read more »
‘We’re thinking landslide’: Beyond D.C., GOP officials see Trump on glide path to reelection
By most conventional indicators, Donald Trump is in danger of becoming a one-term president. The economy is a wreck, the coronavirus persists, and his poll numbers have deteriorated. But throughout the Republican Party’s vast organization in the states, the operational approach to Trump’s re-election campaign is hardening around a fundamentally […] Read more »
History says Trump’s low approval rating is unlikely to move
… We’ve still got five months until the general election, which, in theory, is plenty of time for the race for president to change. Indeed, horserace polling has sometimes shifted considerably between this point and Election Day. Presidential approval ratings, however, haven’t historically moved much from June of an election […] Read more »