There’s a wave coming. A blue wave like the one in 2018. Only bigger. Much bigger. Big enough to sweep away President Trump and the Republican majority in the Senate. … Every national poll taken over the past month shows Democrat Joe Biden leading Trump; the average margin is approaching […] Read more »
Texas is a swing state in 2020, new polls reveal
New CBS News/YouGov polls show President Donald Trump is in trouble in three states he won in 2016. He’s tied with former Vice President Joe Biden in Arizona (46% to 46%), a state he won by four points in 2016. Trump’s down 48% to 42% in Florida, a state he […] Read more »
Is Trump Just Whistling Dixie?
The polls show President Trump and the Republicans are looking at a November shellacking. Are they right? Political analyst Geoffrey Skelley from 538.com joins the Horse Race to give us his thought. He’s joined by University of Houston political scientist Richard Murray who will fill us in on how bad […] Read more »
Senate Democratic candidates are raising tons of money. That matters.
… Historically, candidates who raise more money increase their chances of winning significantly. This means the more money Democrats are raking in, the better chance they have at winning a Senate majority. Take a look at more than 100 Senate races for which there was polling from January to June […] Read more »
4 poll numbers that could spell doom for Trump and the GOP
We’re less than four months from the 2020 election, and President Trump is in a bad way. A slew of national polls show him losing to Joe Biden by an average of around nine points; swing-state polls almost universally show Biden leading; and worry is growing on the right not […] Read more »
The Polls Weren’t Far off in 2016. They Aren’t Wrong Now, Either.
Over the last few weeks, my political conversations have started to change. They now often lead off with a question like “Can President Trump turn this election around?” or “What would it take for him to win a second term?” That’s quite a shift from just a few months ago, […] Read more »