Key Points• President Trump’s position has been perilously weak for a month and a half.• With Joe Biden’s national lead around eight to 10 points, there is a possibility that he could compete for some usually Republican states.• We are moving seven states from Safe Republican to Likely Republican.• Our […] Read more »
The Great Acceleration: How 2020’s Crises Are Bringing the Future Faster
Political prognostication, by Bruce Mehlman of Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas. CONT. — pdf Read more »
Forecast: The race between Biden and Trump is within the true margin of error
There is little doubt that former Vice President Joe Biden is ahead in the polls right now. He regularly posts double-digit advantages nationally and is ahead in the key swing states. If the election were held today, Biden would almost certainly be elected president. But the election is not being […] Read more »
Will enthusiasm save Trump in 2020?
538’s Nate Silver on whether or not enthusiasm will help Trump in 2020. This Week, ABC News Read more »
5 things to know about CBS News’ 2020 Battleground Tracker
The CBS News Battleground Tracker is back, explaining what’s on voters’ minds and regularly providing detailed snapshots of the U.S. presidential election in each state throughout the 2020 campaign. In addition to the specific polls we conduct in key states in a given week, the Battleground Tracker map includes our […] Read more »
What we know right now about the November election
If this year has taught us anything, it’s that there’s no way to predict what will happen between today and November 3, now less than four months away. But we can and should do everything we can to take the pulse of the nation. We went to Jennifer Agiesta, CNN’s […] Read more »