One of the most intriguing questions going into next year’s Senate races is which party will be playing offense and which will be content to defend. History argues that Democrats will be on defense and Republicans on offense; exposure argues the opposite way, that Republicans will play defense while Democrats […] Read more »
Why the popular Covid relief bill may not pay off electorally for Democrats
A new CNN/SSRS poll finds that 61% of Americans favor President Joe Biden’s coronavirus relief package. Just 37% oppose. This fits with the average polling, which almost universally shows more than 60% of Americans approved of the package. … So what the heck is the GOP seeing to make them […] Read more »
2022 Gubernatorial Races: A Baseline
Key Points• 38 states will see gubernatorial races over the next two years; Democrats currently hold 18 of the seats that will be contested while the GOP holds 20.• Maryland, where popular Gov. Larry Hogan (R-MD) is term-limited, will be hard for Republicans to hold. With a Leans Democratic rating, […] Read more »
New Democracy Corps National Phone Poll: “Fixed” To Accommodate Trump’s Right-Wing Populism
Our co-founder, Stanley Greenberg, learned in polling for campaigns in Austria, the U.K., and Israel to respect the role of working class, nationalist voters led by a right-wing populist leader running against the liberal establishment and their ability to upset everyone’s expectations for Election Day. He also learned how to […] Read more »
NRCC Battleground Congressional District Survey
Even as President Biden is in the honeymoon period of his administration, Congressional Republicans are in good shape to win the majority as they have an advantage in ticket-splitting districts. Republicans are well positioned to grow their support as voters hear about Nancy Pelosi’s socialist agenda. CONTINUED — pdf Rob […] Read more »
Virginia and New Jersey Governors 2021: A First Look
Key Points• Virginia Democrats are trying to win three consecutive gubernatorial races, a feat the party has not accomplished since the 1980s.• Former Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D-VA) is the favorite for his state’s Democratic nomination, though he faces a diverse field.• In a move that’s ruffled some feathers on their […] Read more »