“Imagine polls don’t exist. Show me evidence Hillary is winning?” That was the challenge that Charlotte radio host Bill Mitchell posed for his Twitter followers just one week ago. It was an interesting request, given that polls have been used to predict elections with relatively strong reliability for almost a […] Read more »
Road to 270: CNN’s latest electoral college map
August has thus far been kind to Hillary Clinton’s poll numbers both nationally and in some critical battleground states. The former secretary of state has been able to ride a post-convention bounce and mostly uncontested television airwaves to her strongest position yet in CNN’s Electoral College outlook this year. This […] Read more »
Clinton Rises to 348 Electoral Votes, Trump Drops to 190
… Since 2000, we’ve watched New Hampshire become more reliable for the Democrats in presidential years. Neighbor John Kerry of Massachusetts won 50.2% in 2004, and Barack Obama easily carried the Granite State in 2008 (54.1%) and 2012 (52.0%). And now, Hillary Clinton is doing so well that her polling […] Read more »
Why Clinton Doesn’t Have This Race Locked Up
… A lot of Democrats I know have started to talk as though this election is over. They point to the fact that no candidate since 1952 who was leading at this point in the election cycle, a few weeks after the conventions, has lost the popular vote. So if […] Read more »
NPR Battleground Map: Hillary Clinton Solidifies Lead Against Donald Trump
Donald Trump’s missteps since the conventions have put Hillary Clinton in a dominant position. If the election were held today, according to the latest NPR analysis of polling, demographics and on-the-ground reporting, Clinton would win in a landslide of 2008 proportions. CONT. Domenico Montanaro, NPR Read more »
Clinton Surges Past 270 Electoral Votes in NBC News Battleground Map
After releasing our seven battleground-state polls last week — and seeing several other state surveys — we’ve updated our NBC battleground map. The states in Hillary Clinton’s column now add up to 288 electoral votes, which exceeds the 270 needed to win the presidency. CONT. Chuck Todd, Mark Murray & […] Read more »