History, demographics and the national mood are pointing to one conclusion about the 2018 congressional races: Democrats are well-positioned to bring one-party government in Washington under Donald Trump’s presidency to a screeching halt. There’s a confluence of evidence indicating a so-called wave election may be building that would allow Democrats […] Read more »
The Numbers to Watch Ahead of November
There seems little point in spending a lot of time trying to assess the political implications of what turned out to be a relatively brief government shutdown. The initial reading of the deal is that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell got the better of Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, but it […] Read more »
What to Make of All These New and Often Conflicting Generic Ballot Polls?
If you are confused about what to make of the latest slew of polling data about control of Congress in 2018, you are not alone. On the so-called generic ballot question which asks voters if they’d support a Democrat or Republican for Congress in 2018, Democrats have either lost ground […] Read more »
Women and independents drive advantage for Democrats ahead of midterm elections, Post-ABC poll finds
Strong support from women and independents is fueling Democrats’ large early advantage ahead of this year’s congressional elections, a sign that two groups that have recoiled from Donald Trump’s presidency will play a decisive role in November, according to a new Washington Post-ABC News poll. CONT. Scott Clement, Washington Post Read more »
Democrats solidify their lead in midterm elections matchup
Democrats have solidified their position in the November midterm elections in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, maintaining a 12-point lead among registered voters while improving to a wide 14-point advantage among likely voters in congressional preference. CONT. Sofi Sinozich, ABC News Read more »
CNN Poll: Democratic advantage narrows in 2018
As the midterm election year begins, a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS finds the Democratic advantage on a generic congressional ballot has tightened to a narrow 5 points among registered voters, but those voters who say they are most enthusiastic about turning out to vote this fall favor Democrats […] Read more »