President Donald Trump talks of winning reelection in 2020, and he filed papers to run again back on Inauguration Day. But history suggests the person taking the oath of office 33 months from now will be someone else. If the past is any guide — it often is, of course […] Read more »
Amid the Trump chaos, public opinion is remarkably stable
The latest NBC/WSJ poll — which finds President Trump’s job rating at 39 percent and Democrats leading in congressional preference by seven points — is a reminder of just how stable the polling has been in the Trump Era, even when the news environment hasn’t been stable at all. CONT. […] Read more »
Democrats’ advantage in midterm election support is shrinking
Democrats hold an advantage ahead of the midterm elections, but a Washington Post-ABC News poll shows that edge has narrowed since January, a signal to party leaders and strategists that they could be premature in anticipating a huge wave of victories in November. The poll finds that the gap between […] Read more »
2018 vote margin narrows as Democratic engagement slips
A Democratic advantage in the upcoming midterm elections has narrowed in the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll, with indications of lower engagement among members of the party now out of power in the federal government. CONT. Sofi Sinozich & Gary Langer, ABC News Read more »
Poll shows Democrats have midterm intensity advantage, but no ‘knockout’ yet
An advantage in intensity — against President Donald Trump and for voting in November — is fueling Democrats ahead of the midterm elections that take place more than six months from now, according to a new national NBC News/Wall Street Journal poll. CONT. Mark Murray, NBC News Read more »
Paul Ryan’s retirement further signals that the GOP’s House majority is in extreme danger
House Speaker Paul Ryan’s announcement Wednesday that he will not seek re-election is the latest sign that the Republican House majority is in trouble. The writing has been on the wall for a while now. President Donald Trump’s low approval rating, Republicans’ poor standing on the generic congressional ballot and […] Read more »