Tuesday’s victories for Democrats in the U.S. House and Republicans in the Senate made for a much less surprising election night than President Trump’s election two years ago, but that didn’t prevent a rerun of the debate over whether pollsters had missed the trends that became clear late Tuesday. Against […] Read more »
As Americans wake up to a divided Congress, pollsters breathe a sigh of relief
THE MORNING AFTER THE MIDTERMS, journalists are working through the complicated picture that emerged from yesterday’s elections. With Democrats gaining in some states and Republicans in others, the results defied easy generalization. As Cook Political Report National Editor and sometime WNYC host Amy Walter tweeted, the midterms have turned out […] Read more »
The (Final) Forecast: A Democratic House and a Republican Senate, but still some uncertainty
The 2018 campaign (mostly) comes to an end today. If the polls and our forecasts are right, the Democrats and Republicans will each have something to be happy about. Democrats are favored to take back the House, while Republicans are favored to maintain control of the Senate. Our final House […] Read more »
Our Final Forecast In The Senate, House And Gubernatorial Races
Happy Election Day! The last of the polls are in, and it’s finally pencils down for FiveThirtyEight’s 2018 midterm forecast. Here are our final forecasts: CONT. Nathaniel Rakich, FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Democrats are likely to do very well in governors’ races
Much of the attention on Election Night will be on the battle for control in Congress, but there will also be 36 governors’ races across the country. Republicans currently control 26 of these seats compared to Democrats’ nine and one independent. If the polling is correct, there will be a […] Read more »
Democrats More Worried Than Republicans About Election
More than eight in 10 Democrats and Democratic leaners (81%) say they are very or somewhat worried about what will happen if Republicans maintain control of one or both houses of Congress in Tuesday’s midterm elections. Alternatively, 66% of Republicans and Republican leaners say they are very or somewhat worried […] Read more »