Voter enthusiasm for the 2020 presidential election is already sky high. With all the coverage of Beto O’Rourke’s counter climbing and Pete Buttigieg’s speaking approximately 200 languages, you might forget that 34 Senate seats are also up for election. You can bet those races will soon be hotter than a […] Read more »
Biden and Bernie lead early polls, but don’t place bets yet
It’s Easter Sunday of 2019, but many political watchers are already looking ahead to 2020 and who will win the Democratic nomination to face off against President Donald Trump. Many of the polls are laying out a pretty clear pecking order nationally and some familiar names are leading the way. […] Read more »
The GOP’s Senate Firewall
A palpable nervousness is taking hold among Republicans as they look ahead to the 2020 elections, and the word “firewall” is coming up frequently in the same sentence as “Senate.” Republicans certainly could still pick up the 18 seats needed for a House majority—it’s not an enormous number—and President Trump […] Read more »
Poll Hub: An Interview with Gallup’s Editor in Chief
Though a 10-year veteran of Gallup, Mohamed Younis has served as the organization’s editor-in-chief for just four months. On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, Younis joins the discussion to share his vision for the future of Gallup and how he is working to preserve the legacy of founder George […] Read more »
Assessing Trump’s Chances: Forecasting the 2020 Presidential Election
There are still 10 months to go until the first ballots will be cast in the 2020 presidential caucuses and primaries. The identity of the Democratic nominee, in all likelihood, will not be known for more than a year. Nevertheless, it is not too early to begin speculating about Donald […] Read more »
What More Than 40 Years Of Early Primary Polls Tell Us About 2020: Part 1
How much can we learn from early primary polls? Back in 2011, FiveThirtyEight Editor-in-chief Nate Silver set out to answer this question and found that early national polling is at least somewhat predictive of who will win the nomination, especially when the results are adjusted for each candidate’s name recognition. […] Read more »