Do you think of yourself as open-minded? For a 2017 study, scientists asked 2,400 well-educated adults to consider arguments on politically controversial issues — same-sex marriage, gun control, marijuana legalization — that ran counter to their beliefs. Both liberals and conservatives, they found, were similarly adamant about avoiding contrary opinions. […] Read more »
How Trump could lose by 5 million votes and still win in 2020
In the wake of President Donald Trump’s tweets suggesting several nonwhite progressive congresswomen “go back” to their countries — three of them were born in the U.S. — it’s tempting for Democrats to believe the comments will backfire with an increasingly diverse electorate and seriously damage his re-election prospects. But […] Read more »
Trump’s Great Reelection Expectations
A good friend of mine who is an American foreign policy expert recently returned from a trip to Asia, where he met with a wide variety of current and former senior government officials from across the region. The consensus view among these leaders was that President Trump will win reelection, […] Read more »
Trump’s Electoral College Edge Could Grow in 2020, Rewarding Polarizing Campaign
President Trump’s approval ratings are under water in national polls. His position for re-election, on the other hand, might not be quite so bleak. His advantage in the Electoral College, relative to the national popular vote, may be even larger than it was in 2016, according to an Upshot analysis […] Read more »
Raging Partisanship in the Age of Trump
The phrase “elections have consequences” is both a cliché and a truism. Some used to say, “It doesn’t really matter who wins” a particular election, but it has been a while since those words have been heard. The two parties’ ideologies and values have rarely, if ever, stood in such […] Read more »
The 2020 Elections and the Future of American Politics
Political prognostication, by Bruce Mehlman of Mehlman Castagnetti Rosen & Thomas. CONT. – pdf Read more »