A good friend of mine who is an American foreign policy expert recently returned from a trip to Asia, where he met with a wide variety of current and former senior government officials from across the region. The consensus view among these leaders was that President Trump will win reelection, that polls are unreliable, that Trump’s “nativism is more popular than American elites appreciate.” …
The expectation of a Trump reelection is also reflected in a CNN national poll in May showing 54 percent of Americans expected him to win (41 percent thought he would not), as well as a Cornerstone Macro poll of institutional investors in May, which found 57 percent agreed. CONT.
Charlie Cook