Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders could be surging at just the right time. He’s ahead in some of the highest quality polls coming out of Iowa with a week to go until the caucuses. History suggests that a win in Iowa could allow Sanders to take the lead in the national […] Read more »
Economic prosperity boosts Trump in election poll, counterweight to his unpopularity
Economic prosperity is boosting Donald Trump’s political prospects, helping the relatively unpopular president to a competitive position against his potential Democratic opponents in the fall election, the latest ABC News/Washington Post poll finds. Key to Trump’s opportunity is a rise in economic confidence. One year before he took office, 63% […] Read more »
Election Update: Sanders Is On The Upswing
Up until this point, we’ve been pretty hesitant to read too much into any one of the post-debate polls — largely because for each poll that showed Sen. Bernie Sanders on the upswing, there was another poll that showed him on the downturn. But now with four more national polls […] Read more »
Sanders Could Win This Thing
This week, as the historic impeachment trial gets underway in the Senate, we look at polling of how Americans are reacting and compare those numbers to 1999. Then, we take a closer look at what impeachment may mean for swing-state Republicans. Plus, Harry argues that folks may be underestimating Bernie […] Read more »
Bernie Sanders is the Iowa favorite one week before the caucuses
… Iowa polls are split right now. … But when you average the highest quality pollsters together, you get this: Sanders 21%, Biden 19%, Buttigieg 17%, Warren 16% and Klobuchar 7%. So just what is the chance Sanders wins the caucuses? About 1 in 3. That may seem low, but […] Read more »
4 Reasons Anything Could Happen in Iowa
The Iowa presidential caucuses are usually a nail-biter. But with a sardine-packed field of Democratic candidates and the Senate’s impeachment trial cluttering some of their schedules, clarity this year is especially scarce. CONT. Giovanni Russonello, New York Times Read more »