Key Points • Ahead of several delegate-rich contests this month, both national and state-level polls suggest that Joe Biden is solidifying his lead over Bernie Sanders.• Though a handful of states will be voting tomorrow, Michigan, given its significance in the 2016 primary, will be a focal point of the […] Read more »
Why Biden’s endorsement wave matters
Former Vice President Joe Biden is racking up endorsements. … No candidate has lost when ahead in the national polls and endorsements at this point, as Biden is right now. There have been 14 party primaries without an incumbent running since 1980. The leader in endorsements from members of Congress […] Read more »
Why Biden Is Now A Big Favorite
In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast’s “Model Talk,” Nate Silver explains why the Democratic primary forecast shifted significantly in Biden’s favor this week. He also discusses changes he’s made to the model and why a comeback will be so challenging for the Sanders campaign. FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Poll Hub: This is Getting Intense
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we’re digging deep into the data with The Marist Poll’s Director of Data Management and Technology, Stephanie Calvano. What can we learn from Super Tuesday exit polls? What does that information mean for the next round of Democratic primary states, and why do […] Read more »
After Super Tuesday, Joe Biden Is A Clear Favorite To Win The Nomination
After a huge night on Super Tuesday — and with all his major opponents except Sen. Bernie Sanders having dropped out — former Vice President Joe Biden is a strong favorite to win the Democratic nomination, according to the FiveThirtyEight forecast. CONT. Nate Silver, FiveThirtyEight Read more »
Where will Warren’s supporters swing?
Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) ended her campaign Thursday after failing to get first or second place in any Super Tuesday states. The critical question going forward is where her supporters will swing. … Exit poll data indicates Sanders (I-Vt.) is the most natural beneficiary of Warren’s decision to end her […] Read more »