Democrats are holding onto the US Senate by a thread. The chamber is tied 50-50 with Vice President Kamala Harris breaking ties in the Democrats’ favor. Republicans need to pick up only one seat in next year’s midterm elections to gain control of the chamber, and an early look at […] Read more »
Statistically, Democrats and Republicans hate each other more than ever
It’s nothing new to say that members of the Democratic Party and the Republican Party don’t see eye to eye. After all, there’s a reason they belong to different political parties. But over the last few years, it really does seem that the dislike between the two sides has hit […] Read more »
Six Theories of Joe Biden’s Crumbling Popularity
The biggest mystery in American politics right now—and perhaps the most consequential one—is how Joe Biden became so unpopular. Biden began his presidency moderately popular: At the start, Quinnipiac University’s polling found that 53 percent of Americans approved of him and 36 percent did not. Today’s numbers are the mirror […] Read more »
Biden Approval, Legislation and the American Public
President Joe Biden signed the new $1.2 trillion “Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act” into law this week. From the American public’s perspective, this is a big deal. I wrote about the public’s desire to have more of their federal money spent on infrastructure as far back as 2016, saying at […] Read more »
Sympathy for the Devil: In Defense of Horse-Race Election Polling
As regular consumers of both mainstream and social media know, there is a vocal group of politically minded people who absolutely hate horse-race polling (i.e., polling about who is leading in election contests). They have varying reasons. Some think polls systemically underrepresent the viability of their favorite party or politicians. […] Read more »
Democrats Shouldn’t Panic. They Should Go Into Shock.
The rise of inflation, supply chain shortages, a surge in illegal border crossings, the persistence of Covid, mayhem in Afghanistan and the uproar over “critical race theory” — all of these developments, individually and collectively, have taken their toll on President Biden and Democratic candidates, so much so that Democrats […] Read more »