… Republicans aren’t opposed to Trump running again. A recent CBS/You Gov poll taken in early January found 76 percent of 2020 Trump voters either wanted him to run in 2024 or to “fight to be put in office right now.” A November Marquette University poll found 60 percent of […] Read more »
Biden as a New F.D.R.? Try L.B.J.
Joseph R. Biden Jr. was supposed to be another Franklin D. Roosevelt, a Democratic president who enacted transformative liberal legislation and in doing so built a lasting political coalition. … The decision to prioritize the goals of his party’s activist base over the issues prioritized by voters is more reminiscent […] Read more »
Five Warning Signs for Biden as He Marks First Anniversary in Office
Key Points• As Joe Biden marks a year in office, he has found himself in a perilous position, and there are no obvious signs of improvement.• Among Biden’s challenges is an apparently weakened position among nonwhite voters as well as younger voters, two immensely important pillars of the Democratic coalition.• […] Read more »
America’s shift to the right in 2021 is worse news for Democrats than it seems
… Democrats have repeatedly hoped that Trump would prove so poisonous that the electorate would turn against the GOP. It worked in 2018, when the midterms served as a repudiation of Trump’s politics. It didn’t work in 2016, though, when Trump first won, and it offered only limited utility in […] Read more »
It’s Foolish to Predict the Midterms Until We Know Covid’s Future
… In sharp contrast to everyone else doom scrolling about the pandemic, political handicappers seem determined to treat 2022 as an ordinary election year. As a result, we are awash in glib forecasts about how the inflation rate, Biden’s approval numbers, or the Democratic stalemate on Capitol Hill will determine […] Read more »
Biden’s team takes a page from Trump: Pushing back on poor poll numbers
Donald Trump’s self-worth has long been defined by numbers. His net worth (which he would often inflate). The ratings for “The Apprentice.” And once he entered politics, polling. … In June 2020, Trump offered one of his more unusual responses to a bad poll. CNN and its polling partner SSRS […] Read more »