President Biden enjoyed high approval among Americans in the early months of his presidency. Millions of vaccines were distributed throughout the United States. The White House trumpeted high job growth as proof of a rebounding economy. But privately Mr. Biden’s lead pollster was already sounding the alarm that even with […] Read more »
Polls show Biden is losing support from Gen Z. These young voters aren’t surprised
As the political calendar inches towards the midterm elections in November, a run of recent polling all points to one thing: President Biden has a problem with young voters. The new NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist poll found support for the president had plummeted 16 points among Gen Z and millennials in the […] Read more »
Polling in an Era of Political Polarization
I’m often asked about the value of national public opinion polling in an era of rigid political polarization and within a system where members of the U.S. House and Senate are elected at the district and state level, not in national elections. Certainly, polling keeps the people of the nation […] Read more »
It’s not just Latinos and younger voters. Democrats are slipping among Black voters too.
Black voters form the core of the Democratic Party base. They cast ballots for Democrats in greater proportions than pretty much any other demographic group. Without the massive backing of Black voters, the last three Democratic nominees (Joe Biden, Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama) would not have made it to […] Read more »
Why young voters probably won’t cost Democrats in 2022
… Biden’s approval rating with Americans 18-29 years old is just 38% in aggregated Gallup data since September. From January 2021 to June 2021, it was 61% — about the same percentage of the vote he earned among voters under 30 in the 2020 election. Biden’s popularity among young Americans […] Read more »
Ron DeSantis’ governing strategy in Florida is paying off
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis has championed controversial stances that have catapulted him into GOP stardom. From Covid-19 vaccines to critical race theory to the law critics have dubbed “Don’t Say Gay,” DeSantis has annoyed Democrats (and many medical professionals) and delighted his fellow Republicans. He’s played to the GOP base […] Read more »