Sometimes understanding political opinion is complicated. For example, electoral observers will be trying to comprehend the rise of Donald Trump in American politics for years to come. The story of public opinion ahead of the 2022 midterms, on other hand, is, at this point, an easy one to understand: “It’s […] Read more »
The Politics of Overturning Roe Are Bad for Republicans
… Roe infuriated pro-life Americans and made pro-choice Americans complacent. Republican candidates could use the issue to rile up their base without risking an electoral backlash. But if Roe goes down, Americans who want to keep abortion legal will have to vote that way. And those Americans are a political […] Read more »
Will Biden’s 2022 midterms be worse than Obama’s in 2010?
Whether it’s reporters or politicians or D.C. insiders, the question I get asked more than any other is, “How many?” — how many seats will Republicans pick up this fall? Forecasting numbers based on the latest polls is never a good idea, but certainly the trend lines are heading in […] Read more »
Do Americans Support Abortion Rights? Depends on the State.
A majority of Americans believe that abortion should be legal in all or most cases. But the story is more complicated in the states where the future of abortion policy is likely to be decided if — as is now expected — the Supreme Court overturns Roe v. Wade. In […] Read more »
What Now?
… Americans are pretty stressed right now. Rising costs of living on everything from groceries to gas to rent is a top concern for Americans across the political spectrum. A recent CNBC poll found that 47 percent believe the economy is in poor shape, the highest level of pessimism on […] Read more »
Do you know where your survey data come from?
The online survey industry has created a complicated and opaque web of data outsourcing that can make it nearly impossible for researchers to know where their data come from and creates conditions that incentivize distracted and insincere survey responses. We began wondering about survey data sourcing when we noticed that […] Read more »