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Why most polls done in Nevada are garbage
A few words about all of these polls on the presidential race in Nevada: Don’t believe them. Sound familiar? Yes, I was telling you the same thing two years ago when every poll (almost) showed Sharron Angle would be the next U.S. senator from Nevada. That didn’t happen, and all […] Read more »
Five myths about political polls
When Mitt Romney was trailing in public polls before the first presidential debate — particularly in swing states — his campaign manager was dismissive, contending that, according to his camp’s superior internal data, the race was “inside the margin of error.” After the debate, when Romney grabbed the advantage in […] Read more »
A Bounce for Romney, but Just How High?
Polling since the debate in Denver last week has generally been very strong for Mitt Romney. … A troubling sign for Mr. Romney, however, is that although he has made gains in state polls, he does not seem to have taken the lead in very many of them. … How […] Read more »
Romney leads national polls, but Obama hangs tough in swing states
The race for president is at its most confusing point of the campaign. The post-debate polling picture has indicated that Mitt Romney has made up ground nationally, but polls from the swing states offer a more complicated and still optimistic picture for President Obama. [cont.] Harry Enten, The Guardian Read more »
Gallup: Survey Methods, Complex and Ever Evolving
… For our final month of political surveys before the Nov. 6 election, we are now conducting a separate daily tracking program consisting of interviews with a random sample of 500 U.S. adults each night. … As has always been the case, we do not attempt to weight the composition […] Read more »