Longtime readers will know that I was a big fan of Drew Linzer’s 2012 presidential forecast model contained at his Votamatic website, and not just because he was kind enough fly out here to give a talk to Middlebury students during the middle of the presidential campaign. Linzer’s model, you […] Read more »
A Tale Of Two Primaries In Massachusetts
Two groups of Massachusetts voters will head to the polls Tuesday to choose the Democratic and Republican nominees for governor. But the voters who turn out for these pivotal contests look very different than the electorate likely to turn out for the Nov. 4 general election. CONT. Steve Koczela & […] Read more »
FiveThirtyEight’s Senate Model Is Back And It Gives Republicans The Edge
The FiveThirtyEight Senate model is launching Wednesday. We’ll be rolling it out in stages, with additional features, functionality and further methodological detail. We’ll also be unveiling our new set of pollster ratings and publicly releasing our database of all the polls used to calculate them. So there’s a lot more […] Read more »
Law puts tighter limits on push polling
As the election season heats up in New Hampshire, so too does the barrage of polling and campaign calls. Ahead of this campaign cycle, the state has narrowed its definition of push polls, a phone call that sounds like a polling survey but instead is used to spread negative information […] Read more »
Arthur H. White, Gauged Public Opinion and Encouraged Reading, Dies at 90
Arthur H. White, a co-founder of Yankelovich, Skelly & White, an innovative opinion research firm that shed light on American cultural and political changes, who later became a prominent leader in the nonprofit world, died on Monday in Stamford, Conn. … In the late 1950s, Mr. White joined with Daniel […] Read more »
Survey says: People don’t trust pollsters anymore
Marketplace’s Kai Ryssdal speaks with David Leonhardt of The New York Times. Read more »