Breaking a decades-long tradition, Gallup, the best-known name in polling, has decided not to conduct polls of support in the 2016 presidential primaries. They may skip asking how people will vote in the general election as well. CONT. Scott Clement & Peyton M. Craighill, Washington Post Read more »
Gallup Gave Up. Here’s Why That Sucks.
Gallup has been synonymous with polling for decades. But the pollster that made its name forecasting a Franklin Roosevelt win over Alf Landon in 1936 has decided, at least for now, to stop polling the presidential horse race in favor of focusing on issues. It won’t poll the 2016 primaries […] Read more »
Gallup gives up the horse race
Gallup has been the country’s gold standard for horse-race election polling ever since its legendary founder, George Gallup, predicted Franklin Roosevelt’s landslide reelection in 1936. But after a bruising 2012 cycle, in which its polls were farther off than most of its competitors, Gallup told POLITICO it isn’t planning any […] Read more »
Watch Out, Joe Biden, Polls Aren’t Kind To Candidates Who Enter Late
The Joe Biden buzz seems to be getting louder by the day. A Biden presidential run would be bad news for Hillary Clinton — even though he’s sitting in third place in Iowa, New Hampshire and national primary polls, behind both Clinton and Bernie Sanders. But if he runs, will […] Read more »
Early Iowa Presidential Polls a Better Predictor Than National Ones
Last month, national polls by CNN/ORC, Fox News and NBC News/Wall Street Journal got plenty of attention, and they certainly helped readers and viewers understand what is going on in the Republican and Democratic presidential contests. But if history is any guide, early national polls are far less valuable in […] Read more »
Pollsters: Don’t trust us to winnow GOP field
Pollsters surveyed by POLITICO have a unanimous warning for the Republican National Committee and the TV networks who are using public-opinion surveys to exclude presidential candidates from debates: Don’t trust polls to detect often-tiny grades of opinion in a giant field. CONT. Steven Shepard, Politico Read more »