… We always hear that politicians are unprincipled weather vanes, slavishly following polls. Harry Truman put it best: “I wonder how far Moses would have gone if he’d taken a poll in Egypt? What would Jesus Christ have preached if he’d taken a poll in Israel? . . . It isn’t polls […] Read more »
No more ‘Quinni-who?’ Poll puts once-obscure school on map
… Much as basketball put the University of Connecticut on the map, Quinnipiac officials say the polls have elevated the national profile of the school in a New Haven suburb, aiding its rise from a local college to a university that draws students from around the country. CONT. Michael Melia, […] Read more »
Beyond exit polls: AP tests online surveys of voters
To help in calling winners and explaining why candidates won, The Associated Press has been testing new ways to survey voters around Election Day. After all, in the last presidential election, more than a third of voters did not go to a polling place on Election Day but instead voted […] Read more »
Tuesday Primaries Changed Everything and Nothing at All
The results of Tuesday’s primary contests brought us some surprises – a Bernie win, a Rubio collapse and a Trump romp. But, it didn’t fundamentally alter the trajectory of this campaign. Hillary Clinton, barring some sort of epic collapse over the next few weeks, is going to be the Democratic […] Read more »
Why the polls totally underestimated Bernie Sanders in Michigan
Last night, Bernie Sanders pulled off a stunning upset in Michigan that almost no one expected — after all, he had been trailing by more than 20 points in much of the polling mere days before. Why were the polls so wrong? CONT. Jeff Stein, Vox Read more »
Why The Polls Missed Bernie Sanders’s Michigan Upset
If Bernie Sanders were to defeat Hillary Clinton in Michigan’s Democratic primary, it would be “among the greatest polling errors in primary history,” our editor in chief, Nate Silver, wrote Tuesday evening when results started to come in. Sanders pulled it off, and now we’re left wondering how it happened. […] Read more »