… Going in to Tuesday, public surveys showed Clinton with a prohibitive lead over Sanders in Michigan’s Democratic presidential primary. … Polls appear to have underestimated the number of Republicans and independents who crossed over to back Sanders. According to exit polls, only 69 percent of Democratic primary voters identified […] Read more »
What The Stunning Bernie Sanders Win In Michigan Means
Bernie Sanders made folks like me eat a stack of humble pie on Tuesday night. He won the Michigan primary over Hillary Clinton, 50 percent to 48 percent, when not a single poll taken over the last month had Clinton leading by less than 5 percentage points. In fact, many […] Read more »
‘Magic’ Terre Haute
Election news is awash in unreliable polling and pundit guesswork. But what if there were a better way to divine the will of the electorate? What if there was a “Magic Town” that dependably reflected the mood and preferences of the country as a whole? It’s a notion that has […] Read more »
Survey raises questions over Latino vote in Nevada
A data-driven controversy has erupted over a finding in the entrance poll of Nevada’s Democratic caucusgoers Saturday, with the results of the poll among Latinos seemingly at odds with widely held expectations that the group was a strong one for Hillary Clinton. The results of the Nevada entrance poll Saturday […] Read more »
Polling Latinos has Always Been Controversial
The recent controversy over Latino voting in Nevada has brought out a contentious back and forth over whether Hillary Clinton lost Latino voters to Bernie Sanders. … The latest out of Nevada is part of a long line of controversies over Hispanic voters. When the media was claiming that Hillary […] Read more »
Sanders was leading among Nevada Latinos in campaign’s last internal survey, pollster says
The pollster for Democratic presidential hopeful Bernie Sanders said Tuesday that his final survey before the Nevada caucuses showed Sanders winning Latino support by nearly the same margin as independent entrance polling that Hillary Clinton’s campaign has sought to discredit. CONT. John Wagner, Washington Post Read more »