Donald Trump’s favorable rating is now roughly equal to Hillary Clinton’s favorable rating. To the Trump skeptic, the result might be viewed as a short-lived post-convention bounce for the Republican nominee. To the Trump fan, it might be viewed as a sign of things to come as the summer turns […] Read more »
Hurry Up and Wait
As the nation’s political class, reporters, and analysts recover from the two-week convention slog — we know, the nation feels so sorry for us — the presidential race enters something of a lull. Labor Day, the traditional kick-off to the general election sprint, is still a month away, and August […] Read more »
The Post-Convention Bounce: What to Watch for in the Race for the White House
… The convention bounce is a small — or sometimes not-so-mall — bump in a candidate’s support after the forceful messaging and increased media attention during that party’s convention. Here’s what to watch for in the coming days. CONT. Ryan Struyk, ABC News Read more »
Hillary Clinton Could Remain Unlikeable – Until She Wins
Talk about a conundrum. Hillary Clinton’s stubbornly low favorability numbers could stand in the way of her quest for the presidency. But researchers say that if she were to win, Americans would like her better. CONT. Elizabeth Williamson, New York Times Recent polls: Hillary Clinton — favorability Read more »
Donald Trump vs. Hillary Clinton? Keep an Eye on Obama’s Approval Rating
… Which is a better indicator of the public’s mood and Mrs. Clinton’s chances, the president’s approval rating or the number of Americans who think the country is on the “right track”? Despite all of the doom and gloom in America, President Obama’s approval rating is pretty good. It’s been […] Read more »
The Rationale Behind the Redesign of the Reuters/Ipsos Presidential Ballot Question
Since early June, our Reuters/Ipsos horse race ballot question (Clinton versus Trump) has shown a larger spread (Clinton-Trump) than the average of the market. Specifically, over this time our poll has given Clinton, on average, a 10-point lead, while that of the market has been narrower at 5-points. So why […] Read more »