So many new polls and so little clarity. With 63 days to go, everyone is trying to figure out where the presidential race stands. Chuck Todd separates the news from the noise with GOP pollster Glen Bolger and Washington Post Chief Correspondent Dan Balz. MSNBC Read more »
How to improve polling? Ask voters who will win.
A new national CNN/ORC poll made headlines Tuesday morning. This poll gives GOP nominee Donald Trump a marginal 1-point lead over Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton among likely voters, and 2 points in a four-way contest including Libertarian Party nominee Gary Johnson and Green Party nominee Jill Stein. … Interestingly, when […] Read more »
Clinton’s Lead Keeps Shrinking
… The clearest pattern is simply that Trump has regained ground since Clinton’s post-convention peak. He now has a 31 percent chance of winning the election according to our polls-only model, and a 33 percent chance according to polls-plus. For a deeper look, let’s run through our set of 10 […] Read more »
Russia’s Levada Centre polling group named foreign agent
Russia’s leading independent polling agency has been labelled a “foreign agent” by the justice ministry and says it cannot now work. The Levada Centre surveys political opinion among Russian people. Its director, Lev Gudkov, said the move, which comes two weeks before parliamentary elections, amounted to “political censorship”. CONT. BBC News Read more »
A hidden Trump vote?
Martha Raddatz, Margie Omero and Kristen S. Anderson discuss the state of the presidential race. ABC Breaking News | Latest News Videos Read more »
Why Clinton supporters shouldn’t panic
… This race was always going to tighten, as I have been telling audiences for my election talks for the past month. Those who point to 1964 or 1972 as electoral precedents in which an ideologically extreme candidate got crushed are misreading history. As Andrew Gelman points out, the results […] Read more »