In this episode of Poll Hub, what factors into pollsters decisions to poll? Why do some electoral contests have few public opinion polls? The team at Poll Hub breaks it down. Then, from the mailroom, the crew answers some of the most frequently asked questions about polls. From push polls […] Read more »
Don’t trust the polls? You should. They’ve been fairly accurate so far this election cycle.
It might be hip to say that the “polls are broken” or the “polls are wrong,” but so far this cycle, it has not been true. There have been nine congressional (House and Senate) and governor elections with polling in 2017 and 2018, and the polling from them has been […] Read more »
Everything You Need to Know About Trump’s Approval Rating
Gallup’s presidential job approval rating is an enduring staple of political assessment. Where does President Donald Trump’s approval rating stand after five quarters in office? How does partisanship affect Americans’ views of the president’s performance? And how do his job approval ratings compare with previous presidents? Gallup Senior Editor Jeff […] Read more »
Who’s On Second? CA Polling Is a Muddled Mess
Here’s what we know about the 2018 California races for governor and U.S. Senate: Democrats Gavin Newsom and Dianne Feinstein will come in first in the June preliminary vote. If past polling and logic prove reliable, Democrats Antonio Villaraigosa and Kevin de Leon will come in second in those races […] Read more »
If Democrats Are Doing so Great, Why Don’t They Have a Bigger Lead on Generic Ballot?
Every day, it seems, another warning light goes off on the GOP’s dashboard, a blinking reminder of their ensuing troubles for 2018. There are a record number of GOP retirements — including that of House Speaker Ryan. Democratic challengers are outraising GOP incumbents. And, of course, there’s the most recent […] Read more »
Why Phone and Web Survey Results Aren’t the Same
Researchers have many methods they can choose from when conducting surveys — telephone, face-to-face, interactive voice response (IVR), web, and paper and pencil. Deciding which method best fits their study’s objectives is one of the most important choices they will make and is crucial to constructing a research design. … […] Read more »