From interference from foreign countries such as Russia to domestic voter fraud and obstacles to the voting process, the latest NPR/Marist Poll gauges Americans’ attitudes about the safety of the U.S. electoral process. On this episode of Poll Hub, NPR’s Brett Neely joins the team to discuss the impetus for […] Read more »
How to Read Midterm Polls
While Washington is obsessed with the Supreme Court nomination of Brett Kavanaugh, voters — Republicans and Democrats— are more concerned about the economy, says Democratic pollster Brad Bannon, who adds that the positive top-line numbers cloak Americans’ continuing economic fears. Shawn Zeller, CQ Read more »
How many Americans really misuse opioids? Why scientists still aren’t sure
Defining opioids. Darwin Brandis/shutterstock.com Joseph Palamar, New York University Langone Medical Center With rates of prescription opioid use disorder and opioid-involved overdose deaths on the rise, the U.S. opioid crisis appears to be continuing unabated. Data on overdose and death are pretty reliable. But there’s still much that’s unknown about […] Read more »
Why Polling Can Be So Hard
Some states and congressional districts are a lot harder to poll than others, and this can have major consequences. … Here’s a tour of some of the challenges we’ve tackled in conducting polls of a dozen of the most competitive congressional districts, what we’ve done about them, and what we […] Read more »
Presidential approval: It’s the economy; except when it’s not
The “Carville Dictum” at last is getting a fresh look — and that’s a good thing for all those interested in the interplay between presidential approval and the economy. The longstanding misinterpretation is not political strategist James Carville’s fault. He correctly identified the weak economy in 1992 as the root […] Read more »
Democrats may have more polling upside in House races than GOP
… The New York Times and Siena College have released multiple House polls over the last week. … The polls produced by Siena and the Times generally point to a House where Democrats have a slight advantage, though Republicans could still retain control. … I went back since the 2006 […] Read more »