In this week’s episode of Poll Hub, Ron Brownstein, CNN senior political analyst & Atlantic Media’s Senior Editor, joins the conversation. On tap this week is a deep dive into the latest national NPR/PBS NewsHour Marist Poll. Why hasn’t President Donald Trump’s approval rating moved? What is the trade President […] Read more »
Trump’s favorite pollster was the least accurate in the midterms
The President continues to be unpopular in most polling. Yet, many of his backers and he insist that the average poll doesn’t adequately capture his true level of support. Trump and these supporters are mistaken, however. Just this week, the President tweeted out a result from his favorite pollster, Rasmussen […] Read more »
How Trump’s approval rating has evolved, according to data scientist Donald Trump
Late Wednesday night, President Trump tweeted a celebratory image. Working hard, thank you! pic.twitter.com/3SoWTkZjP6 — Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) December 6, 2018 … This is not the first time that Trump has tweeted a number from an approval poll. In fact, he’s done it about two dozen times, both his […] Read more »
The Des Moines Register and CNN announce partnership to produce the Iowa Poll
The Des Moines Register and CNN today announced a partnership, in collaboration with cable operator Mediacom, to jointly produce Iowa Polls related to the 2020 Iowa presidential caucuses. The Des Moines Register and CNN will exercise joint editorial control of the poll, including development of poll questions, the release schedule […] Read more »
How FiveThirtyEight’s 2018 Midterm Forecasts Did
… Polls and forecasts, including FiveThirtyEight’s forecast, were highly accurate and did about as well as you could expect. So let’s go through how our forecast, in particular, performed: I’ll brag about what it got right, along with suggesting some areas where — despite our good top-line numbers — there’s […] Read more »
In the midterms, much of the Democrats’ Blue Wave hit a Republican Red Wall
Two of the main casualties for pollsters in most elections are often their reputation and their credibility. In the US, their perceived failure to predict the election victory of Donald Trump left many to question if they could ever be trusted again. Going into the midterms, the leading pollsters had […] Read more »