Americans’ approval of the job Donald Trump is doing as president has been highly stable, showing less movement than all previous presidents’ ratings during their first two years in office. His presidency also has been notable for the absence of two historically reliable patterns in presidential job approval — honeymoon […] Read more »
Gallup Poll: New Editor, New Direction
… Dr. Frank Newport has been editor in chief of the Gallup Poll news for the past 28 years. He is now stepping into semiretirement and will remain as a contributing senior scientist and adviser to the new editor in chief. … This letter is to inform you, as an […] Read more »
What We Should Look for and What We Can Ignore in 2020 Polling
I’m not going to mince words here. Early horse race polls are silly. Tracking ‘movement’ among a bunch of potential 2020 candidates a year of out from when voters go the polls is an utter waste of time. However, while the head-to-head numbers are irrelevant, it is useful to mine […] Read more »
Keith Haller, prominent Maryland pollster, dies at 70
Keith Haller, a prominent Maryland pollster and political strategist who used his encyclopedic knowledge of state politics to advance Democratic candidates and causes such as the construction of the Purple Line light-rail system, died Dec. 11 at his home in Rockville, Md. He was 70. CONT. Jennifer Barrios, Washington Post Read more »
Desperation: Hilariously pitiful rubbish masquerades as Trump poll
There’s an old saying for those of us who spend too much time obsessing on politics that fresh poll numbers are “crack cocaine for political junkies.” It’s funny because it’s true. … Then there’s hilariously pitiful rubbish masquerading as polling. CONT. Eric Black, MinnPost Read more »
Feel free to gorge on 2020 polls. Just don’t start making any bets.
Rudy Giuliani. I don’t mean to dunk on the guy unnecessarily, but the starting and finishing points of discussions about the reliability of early presidential primary polling comes down to those six syllables: Rudy Giuliani. A Gallup poll in December 2006, shortly after the midterm elections that year, offered good […] Read more »