They say New Yorkers have strong opinions. Perhaps nobody knew what those opinions were better than Mickey Blum. Blum was a pollster extraordinaire whose partnership with NY1 dated back more than 20 years. … At the firm she founded with Julie Weprin, Blum had countless other clients around the country. […] Read more »
Trump’s unconventional presidency is hurting his 2020 chances
… A CBS News poll finds that President Donald Trump’s approval rating on his handling of the economy is 52%. His disapproval rating on this metric is 41%. The same poll shows that Trump’s overall job approval rating stands at just 39% to a disapproval rating of 55%. … The […] Read more »
Polling Error in the 2018 Midterm Election
Here are some graphs summarizing analysis I’ve been doing on polling error in the 2018 midterm elections. CONT. Alexander Agadjanian Read more »
What the Polls Got Right This Year, and Where They Went Wrong
It was a good year for polls. This time, they got the basic story of the election right: a Democratic House and a Republican Senate. And on average, the final polls were closer to the results than any election in a decade. Best of all, the polls were relatively unbiased, […] Read more »
The importance of trust in polling
Speaking to technology industry executives at the Web Summit conference in Lisbon, Portugal, on Wednesday, Executive Editor Sally Buzbee addressed AP’s election coverage, trust around polling and the accuracy of AP’s new voter survey in telling the story of the U.S. midterm elections. CONT. Lauren Easton, Associated Press Read more »
Don’t Blame the Polls
Say it with me, everyone: Polls are not predictions. Polls are not predictions. POLLS ARE NOT PREDICTIONS! I’m reminding you all of this mantra because one thing that always happens in the days after an election is the blame game. … Actually, it was a pretty good election night for […] Read more »