The difficult choice facing Democratic primary voters looks even more inscrutable after last week’s first round of party presidential debates. Nothing matters more to Democratic voters than picking a nominee with the best chance of beating President Donald Trump, who many party activists consider an existential threat to their values […] Read more »
No One Picks Up the Phone, but Are Online Polls the Answer?
The transition away from live interview telephone polling is well underway, and online polls now make up the principal source of data on national public opinion. But the alternatives to traditional polling are not fully mature, and the absence of a clear set of standards for online polling research has […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Conformity
In an era where political divisions and hyper partisanship are the norm, Cass R. Sunstein, the Robert Walmsley University Professor at Harvard and author of the new book Conformity, sets out to explain the manifestation of this intense tribalism. On this episode of Poll Hub, Sunstein describes how conformity aligns […] Read more »
Berkeley moves to the forefront in California political polling
In just the last three years, the Berkeley IGS Poll has risen to the forefront of a new era in polling, tapping into information that Californians may choose to provide — their age, race, ethnicity, gender and political affiliation — when they register to vote. And while the poll, produced […] Read more »
How Do You Measure the LGBT Population in the U.S.?
Until recently, researchers have struggled to answer what should be a simple question: How many Americans are lesbian, gay, bisexual or transgender (LGBT)? … Since 2012, Gallup research has shown that the proportion of U.S. adults identifying as LGBT has increased from 3.5% in 2012 to 4.5% in 2017. The […] Read more »
What Trump May Be Missing In Those Polls He Calls Fake
As President Trump attends the G-20 summit in Japan this week, a score of Democrats who want his job are debating in Miami — vying for a nomination that looks increasingly worth having. Major polls taken in the late spring showed President Trump trailing his top Democratic challengers both nationwide […] Read more »