This week is arguably the most important to date in the impeachment inquiry into President Donald Trump. It’s the first time there will be public testimony, which comes at a time when the American people have become seemingly locked in their impeachment positions: They’re for the inquiry but much less […] Read more »
Can Public Impeachment Hearings Drag Down Trump’s Approval Ratings?
… In the past, congressional hearings have been a powerful weapon. When control of the government is divided between two parties, investigations have been a vehicle for the House majority to publicly and repeatedly hammer the president. And research has found that the cumulative toll of hearings has been effective […] Read more »
What The Polls Say About Impeachment Before The First Public Hearing
On Wednesday, we enter a new phase of the House’s impeachment investigation into President Trump: public hearings. And with this week’s testimony may come the first substantial shift in public opinion about impeachment in more than a month. Support for impeachment first shot up in late September and early October, […] Read more »
Biden’s national poll numbers — like those for impeachment — haven’t changed much in the past month
It’s hard to debate that former vice president Joe Biden finds himself in an unusual position in polling for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination. He has held a broadly unchallenged lead in national polling and continues to be the candidate who polls best against President Trump in prospective 2020 matchups. […] Read more »
Could Trump Lose The Popular Vote And Win, Again?
The New York Times, in collaboration with Siena College, recently released a round of battleground state polling that shows a much closer 2020 general election contest in swing states than you might expect if you just looked at national polling. In this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, we have […] Read more »
Don’t Expect Polls to Change Republican Minds
As support for both the impeachment inquiry and President Trump’s removal rises, opponents of Mr. Trump’s presidency are experiencing a long-dormant emotion: hope. With each new poll, social media ripples with excitement. A majority supports impeachment. A plurality supports removal from office. And almost every day brings new details from […] Read more »