On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, it’s almost 2020. So, why are some people still focusing on 2016 pre-election polls? We pick up that question. And, lawmakers are seeking to curb those irritating robocalls. But, could survey research be impacted? We explain. Marist Poll Read more »
Does Knowing Whom Others Might Vote For Change Whom You’ll Vote For?
… Polls probably do influence how people vote in some situations, experts say. But it’s not anything like a universal, definitive effect. What’s more, some of them told me they aren’t sure that would be a bad thing. The question isn’t just whether polls determine outcomes, it’s also a debate […] Read more »
Join us for a three-month tour of Trump’s polling fantasyland
Since he took office almost three years ago, President Trump has, on dozens of occasions, tweeted out poll numbers that show him enjoying majority support nationally or overwhelming, even historic (to hear Trump tell it) support among Republicans. On no occasion have those polls reflected independently calculated polling averages; on […] Read more »
Choose Your Own Early State Adventure
This week, we play out a few scenarios of how the Democratic primary might unfold in the early states. Then we discuss what the departures of Harris and Bullock could mean for the 2020 race and the party. Finally, we break down a poll that looks at how President Trump […] Read more »
The Impact of Increased Political Polarization
As I write this, the House Intelligence Committee has voted to adopt the committee’s Impeachment Inquiry Report along strict party lines. All 13 Democrats on the committee voted “Yes”; all nine Republican committee members voted “No.” This party-line split is neither unusual nor unpredictable, but reflects the deep partisanship that […] Read more »
Legal Experts — And Americans — Weigh In On Impeachment
The impeachment inquiry on Wednesday moved to the House Judiciary Committee, with legal experts giving testimony about whether President Trump committed an impeachable offense. We review that testimony in this installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. We also speak with Clifford Young of Ipsos about the latest results of the […] Read more »