After several elections where the polls as a whole were not a good guide to the result, this time they got it right. … Many of the polling companies had individual polls that were close to the result. But first prize should probably go jointly to Opinium and Ipsos Mori, […] Read more »
What Makes Our New 2020 Democratic Primary Polling Averages Different
Does the world really need another polling average? Well, sure. Actually, we think having a variety of polling averages matters a lot in the presidential primaries — and the one you look at can change how you view the race. So we’ve just launched our national polling average for the […] Read more »
Trump claims his polls numbers have gone ‘through the roof’ thanks to impeachment. Define ‘roof.’
On Friday morning, President Trump became the third president in modern history to see articles of impeachment against him passed by the House Judiciary Committee. But he’s not mad about it, oh no. In fact, he’s happy! After all, it’s been an unmitigated political boon for him, at least to […] Read more »
Impeachment’s no ‘game changer’ and other pet peeves
After weeks of public hearings, I’m ready to take a stand on impeachment. Well, not quite. Actually, there are more than a few pieces of the impeachment coverage, arguments, and narrative that are driving me crazy. And writing a few hundred words seems like a semi-healthy way to attempt to […] Read more »
A View from the Hill
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, David Lightman, McClatchy Newspapers’ Chief Congressional Correspondent, joins the discussion. From partisan messaging to the strategies of House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell, Lightman offers a unique perspective on the proceedings. Then, we turn to the 2020 presidential election. […] Read more »
What to Look for in the Next Polls
Over the next week or 10 days, there should be a number of brand-name national polls released, a welcome development after the dearth of reliable polls since mid-November. Many networks and others budget for 10-12 national polls a year, scheduling one for one-year-out-before-election stories and maybe not another until a […] Read more »