Two stories dominate the news headlines – impeachment and the 2020 Presidential Election. On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, we go behind the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist Poll results and offer insight into where public opinion stands on these two historic events. Then, Stephen Rogers, Executive Director of Deloitte’s Consumer […] Read more »
Would Booker and Castro be in tonight’s debate if polls counted people of color accurately?
Donald Trump’s presidency has pushed a variety of groups — including blacks, Latinos, Asian Americans and Native Americans — to become more politically engaged, spurring giant protests and record voter turnout in the 2018 midterms. At the same time, the proportion of the population that is not white continues to […] Read more »
Views of impeachment haven’t changed significantly since before the public hearings began
… Democrats hoped to see a Nixon-like surge in support for impeachment that would force Republicans to strongly consider impeaching Trump. That didn’t happen. Predictably, mind you: The variability in Nixon’s approval rating over his term suggested fluidity in views of his presidency that simply doesn’t exist in the Trump […] Read more »
What Turned the Tide on Gay Marriage?
I don’t think people can fully comprehend how unique an issue gay marriage is when it comes to public opinion research. Most political scientists study issues that may shift a few percentage points across a decade. By and large, change in public opinion is downright glacial. Gay marriage is not […] Read more »
The Fox News impeachment poll isn’t an outlier (despite what Trump claims)
President Donald Trump wasn’t very happy when Fox News released a poll that showed that 50% of voters want to impeach and remove him from office, while 46% are opposed. He claimed Fox’s polls are “always inaccurate” and “heavily weighted toward Dems.” But here’s what you need to know: the […] Read more »
The impeachment hearings haven’t changed public opinion. This explains why.
For five weeks, the House of Representatives has heard public testimony about President Trump’s alleged efforts to pressure Ukraine into investigating former vice president and Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden. This week, the House is expected to vote on two articles of impeachment based on that testimony. Democrats hoped the […] Read more »