FiveThirtyEight’s Nate Silver looks at what polling data says about the likelihood of the 2020 electoral map looking like it did in 2016. This Week, ABC News The OPINION TODAY email newsletter is a concise daily rundown of significant new poll results and insightful analysis. It’s FREE. Sign up here: opiniontoday.substack Read more »
New 2020 Electoral College Ratings
With just under five months until the election, President Trump is a severe underdog for re-election. Polls show that voters do not trust him to handle the two most pressing issues of the day — the coronavirus pandemic and race relations — which has helped drive his job approval to […] Read more »
Record unhappiness reigns as Americans think something has gone awry in US
Americans are not happy. Just 14% say they’re very happy, according to a poll from NORC at the University of Chicago. That’s lowest since at least 1972. Why? It’s at least partially because they believe something is wrong with their country. That’s the key takeaway from the polling that has […] Read more »
Public opinion on policing has shifted. Here’s how to tell if the changes will stick.
In the three weeks since George Floyd’s death, public opinion on race and policing has zoomed left. Support for Black Lives Matter is skyrocketing. Almost 60 percent of Americans think police are more likely to use excessive force on an African American suspect than a white suspect — a sea […] Read more »
Trump has a point about the polls
As President Donald Trump tumbles in the polls and falls further behind Joe Biden, his campaign has returned to a familiar refrain: The polls are underestimating Trump’s appeal again. It has a point. Pollsters aren’t deliberately skewing their surveys against the president and his party, as Trump’s orbit alleges. The […] Read more »
Is Biden really ahead of Trump?
As of today, Joe Biden clearly leads Donald Trump in the race for the White House. Suggesting otherwise borders on the foolish. At the same time, while the odds favor Biden in November, a prognosticator would be equally foolish to contend that Trump can’t prevail in the end. Begin considering […] Read more »