Senate Majority Whip John Thune sounded the alarm Wednesday that President Donald Trump’s support among independent voters was “soft,” urging a change in strategy in light of a New York Times survey that showed the president trailing Democrat Joe Biden by double digits. The Times/Siena national poll found Biden winning […] Read more »
The coronavirus pandemic is changing political polling as we know it
Primary Tuesday in New York, Kentucky, and Virginia was a quiet one. There were no crowded victory parties or subdued concession speeches. There weren’t even many winners or losers. Instead of exit polls and vote tallying, reporters told viewers that they would likely have to wait another week for results […] Read more »
Second-Guessing Our Poll? First, Take a Look at How It Works
On Wednesday morning, The New York Times/Siena College will release its first national survey of the 2020 cycle, followed on Thursday by polls of the six states likeliest to decide the presidency: Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, Florida, Arizona and North Carolina. Today, we release one element of the data: the methodology […] Read more »
The more things change politically, the more views of Trump stay the same
One of the better polls for President Trump in recent times came from Quinnipiac University late last week. … What immediately struck me about the presented data, though, was how familiar it was. … Trump is, in just about every conceivable way, the most polarizing president in modern American history. […] Read more »
Poll Hub: Check the Trend
On the latest episode of Poll Hub, we discuss the Supreme Court’s recent ruling that it is illegal to terminate a person’s employment based on his or her sexual orientation. Public opinion has been moving in that direction for decades. We discuss the significance of the Court’s decision in light […] Read more »
There’s no sign of ‘hidden’ Trump voters
A new national Ipsos/Reuters poll finds that former Vice President Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump 48% to 35%. … Even though the national polls were accurate in 2016, one of the complaints I hear most often about the polls is that Trump’s supporters are either lying or won’t talk […] Read more »