Trailing badly in the polls and with just over 95 days until the election, President Trump is banking on a questionable phenomenon to defy conventional wisdom and win reelection: the “hidden” Trump voter. The president has repeatedly touted a “silent majority” of Americans he expects to show up en mass […] Read more »
Trump’s Grip on the GOP is Slipping
… The once rock-solid grip that the president had on his party seems to be slipping. Talking with pollsters and strategists from both sides this week, it’s clear that Trump is suffering not just with Democrats and independents but also with GOP voters. They tell us of polling that shows […] Read more »
Trump has lost his economic edge over Biden
President Donald Trump’s ace in the hole has been the economy. Even though a majority of voters have disapproved of his job performance overall during most of his presidency, more voters than not have given him a thumbs-up on the economy. But Trump now may be seeing this advantage dissipate. […] Read more »
Is it Trump or the virus?
While only a fool would take November for granted, in recent days, the commentariat’s consensus has moved in the direction I’ve been arguing for months — concluding former Vice President Joe Biden occupies a very strong position. Which raises an important question: is it the virus or is it President […] Read more »
Are the Polls Missing Republican Voters?
With polls showing Joe Biden holding a commanding lead, one question keeps popping up: Are these polls missing Trump voters? Self-identified Democrats outnumber Republicans in most surveys, sometimes by a wide margin. This might simply mean there are more Democrats than Republicans. But to critics, the partisan makeup of most […] Read more »
Sorry, Republicans. The polls really are that bad.
Many Republicans are responding with disbelief to polls showing President Trump well behind former vice president Joe Biden nationally and in all the swing states. Some say the polls are undercounting Republicans, while others cite 2016 as evidence that the polls are just wrong. Sadly, neither explanation holds water. … […] Read more »