It’s hard to believe that the hole President Trump dug for himself could get deeper, but it has. A record and widening majority of Americans disapprove of the job he’s doing when it comes to handling the coronavirus pandemic; he gets poor scores on race relations; he’s seen a suburban […] Read more »
Forecasting the US elections — as of Aug. 2
Right now, our model thinks Joe Biden is very likely to beat Donald Trump in the electoral college. CONT. The Economist Read more »
Biden is eating into Trump’s Rust Belt base
… Trump won the 2016 election in large part because he was able to break through the big “blue” wall in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. He did so on the backs of White voters, and in particular White voters without a college degree. This led to those infamous memes of […] Read more »
Trump must win North Carolina. He’s losing there.
Absentee ballots start getting mailed to North Carolina voters in just 33 days, and a new CBS News/YouGov poll reveals ominous news for President Donald Trump in the Tar Heel state. Former Vice President Joe Biden holds a narrow 48% to 44% advantage among likely voters. It’s the latest CNN […] Read more »
Democrats are stronger favorites in tight race for Senate control
… The Democrats’ chance of wresting control away from Republicans has increased over the last few months. They are clearer favorites to take back Congress’ upper chamber, though the race for Senate control is still well within the margin of error. To gain a majority of seats, Democrats need a […] Read more »
On the Trail, Again
On this week’s episode of Poll Hub, the general election cycle is in full swing. And, we’re taking on two of the most watched states in the presidential contest – Arizona and North Carolina. Our expert team breaks down the latest NBC News/Marist Polls of these two states. Is Biden […] Read more »