President-elect Joe Biden proved a lot of detractors wrong by winning the 2020 presidential election. It wasn’t easy for Biden, as he took an unusual path to the White House. As we enter the new year and now stand 19 days until Biden’s inauguration, a look back at the primary […] Read more »
Why A Split Verdict In Georgia Isn’t That Crazy
Even with many prestigious pollsters sitting the Georgia runoffs out, there have been plenty of polls of the two U.S. Senate runoffs and they continue to show an exceptionally close race. As of Tuesday afternoon, Democrat Raphael Warnock had a nominal lead of 0.5 percentage points over Republican Sen. Kelly […] Read more »
Goodbye To 2020
In the final 2020 installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, the crew looks back at the rough and wild year that it was. They consider the most surprising political stories of the year, fess up to what they think they got right (or wrong) and answer questions from listeners. They […] Read more »
Why Donald Trump is already the 2024 GOP frontrunner
… Trump’s 2020 loss should in theory lead to a power vacuum in the Republican ranks. The last person to win a major party nomination after losing a presidential election was Richard Nixon in 1968. The last president to do it was Grover Cleveland in 1892. A look at the […] Read more »
Good News About the Coronavirus Vaccine Is Becoming Contagious
Ever since the race to develop a coronavirus vaccine began last spring, upbeat announcements were stalked by ominous polls: No matter how encouraging the news, growing numbers of people said they would refuse to get the shot. The time frame was dangerously accelerated, many people warned. The vaccine was a […] Read more »
How to think about polling after 2020
The 2020 presidential election polls were far from perfect. They had President-elect Joe Biden winning the election, which is worth something. Yet, nationally and in every single one of the 18 states where the final polling average was within 10 points in either direction, Biden’s standing relative to President Donald […] Read more »