The 2016 and 2020 elections raised questions about the state of public opinion polling. Some of the criticism was premature or overheated, considering that polling ultimately got key contours of the 2020 election correct (e.g., the Electoral College and national popular vote winner; Democrats taking control of the Senate). But […] Read more »
Biden is racing against time to make his mark — in more ways than one
… Like most new presidents, Biden is enjoying a modest honeymoon in the eyes of the public, but he knows from experience it won’t last. His job approval rating has been steady at about 54%, a higher number than his immediate predecessor ever saw. The public liked his $1.9-trillion COVID […] Read more »
Why MLB’s decision to move its All-Star Game was surprising
Major League Baseball’s decision to move its 2021 All-Star Game from Georgia after the state changed its voting laws is not an unprecedented move. Other major sports leagues and players have been fighting Republican politicians in this era. What makes MLB’s move different is that it’s not known as a […] Read more »
Why very early signs are good for the GOP in 2022
President Joe Biden’s first two and a half months in office have been far better received than former President Donald Trump’s. Biden’s been able to maintain an approval rating north of 50%; something Trump never did. Yet, a look at the data also reveals that Biden’s Democratic Party has likely […] Read more »
Why Republicans aren’t likely to budge on gun control
The political script following the recent mass shootings in Boulder, Colorado, and Atlanta feels all too familiar. Democrats, led by President Joe Biden, want Congress to pass gun control legislation, most notably universal background checks, while Republicans are balking. The motions are so familiar that I wrote an article three […] Read more »
The reason Biden is popular is no secret: He does popular things on important issues
President Joe Biden’s approval hasn’t moved in two months. He had an average 55% approval rating at the beginning of his presidency. Two months later, Biden’s approval rating stands at 54%. That’s less movement than even former President Donald Trump had during his first few months on the job, and […] Read more »